Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 8.441367 9.658245 11.003101 12.602021 14.454333 16.536376 19.059220
2025-07-20 6.909319 8.509270 10.422249 12.887166 15.992332 19.791489 24.818418
2025-07-27 6.092942 7.913888 10.219154 13.370295 17.594476 23.101790 30.891769
2025-08-03 5.233624 7.089768 9.548626 13.072410 18.038906 24.857224 35.044376
2025-08-10 4.615615 6.482174 9.053203 12.891709 18.543358 26.662024 39.393904
2025-08-17 4.126528 5.982801 8.629536 12.727836 19.002831 28.392724 43.779866
2025-08-24 3.713838 5.540683 8.227766 12.528213 19.351444 29.950458 48.036401
2025-08-31 3.355084 5.137322 7.834187 12.282798 19.576241 31.303976 52.083793
2025-09-07 3.216896 5.054964 7.916157 12.781163 21.024988 34.752760 60.026875
2025-09-14 3.019826 4.857821 7.793299 12.924444 21.885876 37.296161 66.691293
2025-09-21 2.811345 4.621247 7.581241 12.889578 22.425007 39.322946 72.647855
2025-09-28 2.606112 4.370873 7.321555 12.741616 22.738373 40.963276 78.057817
2025-10-05 2.512662 4.305627 7.375254 13.160985 24.140617 44.781475 88.261873
2025-10-12 2.406394 4.208256 7.363169 13.457411 25.341928 48.352281 98.458096
2025-10-19 2.339842 4.174978 7.460418 13.963564 26.995009 52.982269 111.491540
2025-10-26 2.165338 3.929600 7.147991 13.651411 26.987916 54.261839 117.449793
2025-11-02 2.023488 3.733430 6.910541 13.462070 27.206268 56.022086 124.704152
2025-11-09 1.896620 3.555515 6.692822 13.290369 27.439755 57.832065 132.308767
2025-11-16 1.776400 3.381072 6.467553 13.081222 27.568800 59.421930 139.600911
2025-11-23 1.661029 3.207431 6.230080 12.824116 27.564598 60.708043 146.321390
2025-11-30 1.636712 3.213462 6.353194 13.346243 29.351071 66.288735 164.634312
2025-12-07 1.575816 3.140329 6.308036 13.496369 30.301505 70.013811 178.697793
2025-12-14 1.501346 3.033581 6.184364 13.459837 30.809984 72.729088 190.464842